Monday, October 16, 2006

Chris Matthews: Useful Idiot

Tonight's Hardball show takes the pile. Matthews has “Jimmy” Baker and Lee Hamilton on to talk about the Iraq Study Group, the administration's latest machination to save face in the midst of a hellish, murderous, unwinnable war.


Matthews asked Baker what he thought of the National Intelligence Estimate that concluded that the the Iraq war had become a recruiting and training tool for al Qaeda, that the war has caused more terrorism that it will ever prevent. A reasonable question.


MATTHEWS: OK. What do you make of the National Intelligence Estimate that we are creating more terrorists over there than we‘re killing?

BAKER: Well, I don‘t know because I haven‘t seen it, and I‘m not privy to the intelligence. We have access to what we want, provided it‘s not too far up the food chain in terms of classification. I haven‘t seen that NIE, and so I really can‘t comment on it.


Baker's horseshit answer was the same that Cheney, Rice, Snow and almost every administration official has used: I didn't read it. Baker, the head of the Iraq Study Group, didn't read the NIE on Iraq? “I didn't read it.” What the fuck has he been doing the last 6 months. The NIE was reported in the Washington Post, Google News, Yahoo News, Captain Kangaroo News and every other news source this side of Kazakhstan. Even some middling gynecologist in Kalamazoo has read the conclusions to the report.... but good ol' boy “Jimmy” Baker hasn't read it? Bull- fucking- shit! “I didn't read it.” Liar.


The worst of it is that Matthews grunted affirmation and went on to the next question. That is journalistic malpractice, plain and simple. How in God's name can you allow this sumbitch to play you like that? Chris, why do you even bother to have a show, to get up in the morning, to write down all those clever little questions in your spiral notebook? What's the point? Really? You're not that cute, so cut the crap.


Matthews, you are a tool of the highest degree. I would expect such conversational fellatio by Chris Wallace, Shep Smith, Steve Doocey or even Geraldo. The fact is that the situation has been deteriorating in Iraq ever since April 2003 and the administration has gone through all the stages addiction: ignore the problem, deny the problem and now bargaining. “We'll do something about it as soon as the election is over.”


Chris, I'll be blunt: our soldiers are being killed. You and the rest of the media enablers have been complicit in this debacle from day fucking one. Hundreds of thousands of Iraq civilians have been killed, maimed, orphaned and widowed. You, my friend, should know better. When you have one of these vultures, these bloodsuckers who profit from war and pretend to be concerned, on your show you have to verbally wring their necks. You must hold them accountable.


At some point these administration criminals will be called to account for their deceit and their ignorance, and history will look back to see who stood up to them when a difference could be made. Where were you, Mr. Matthews? Sipping champagne and sampling tea biscuits with “Jimmy”? Shameful.


You are not a journalist, you are a sell-out and an embarassment.



Sunday, October 15, 2006

Copyright Infringement Review

Google is buying You Tube, so in the interest of joining the video revolution, the Post will support the American way and pilfer some intellectual property. The top five videos on You Tube (with one from Photobucket):


#5 Republicans lose their minds over Foley scandal. This video is worth it for no other reason than Hannity's bold-faced lie about Monica Lewinsky's age (she was born in 1973):



#4 Keith Olbermann reviews the intelligence and news reports leading up to 9-11. I know it's old stuff and rather long at over 9 minutes, but it sure beats reading the entire Chapter 8 of the 9-11 report:



#3 What is the difference between the Iraq war and the Viet Nam war? Bush knew how to get out of the Viet Nam war. Watch how Rumsfeld lies better than Robert McNamara ever could. And Lara Logan in a red dress is must-see TV:



#2 A future president of the USA has one minute to give the real priority as shown to us by all the terrorist and war events of the past six years. Listen to what he says:



#1 The number one video is a cable TV classic. If you've seen it already, it never gets old. The Black Bush:




Wednesday, October 04, 2006

They Knew (exhibit #237)

My guess is that every American will one day realize that something big was happening during the summer of 2001 and that a multitude of evidentiary exhibits show that the attacks on the World Trade Center could have been foiled.

For me, the "Aha" moment occurred the first time I read the 9/11 Commission Report and saw the veiled admissions that warnings were ignored in chapter 8, entitled "The System Is Blinking Red", and for others it may be the recent review of the July 2001 news story as unearthed by Blue Meme at dailykos.

Bob Woodward in his latest book State of Denial, relates the timeline that Condescenda Rice was told on July 10, 2001 that the FBI and CIA had increased the threat assessment for a terrorist attack on US assets. She asked that Attorney General John Ashcroft be given the same presentation, which he was then given on July 17 according to official logs.

Blue Meme points out this news story from CBS from July 26, 2001 that Ashcroft had abruptly stoppped flying commercial airlines and instead chartered private jets, at a cost of $1600 per hour to taxpayers, immediately after that presentation:
In response to inquiries from CBS News over why Ashcroft was traveling exclusively by leased jet aircraft instead of commercial airlines, the Justice Department cited what it called a "threat assessment" by the FBI, and said Ashcroft has been advised to travel only by private jet for the remainder of his term.
Why? We were never told.

Bush's cabinet members were changing their normal travel behaviors in apparent direct response to the same information outlined only now in Woodward's book. Instead of warning the public and casting a wide net, Bush was preoccupied with pilfering the US Treasury of tax cuts for the upper class and spendng a full month clearing brush from his Texas faux ranch.

Despicable.

Brother, can you spare a dime...?



The last three months of the calendar year tend to give stock traders the yips. Perennially, money flows disfavor stock investment for a number of reasons and downard pressure on stock prices often ensues during this quarter. While my better judgement dictates that I refrain from comment on the stock market or money management, the recent hoopla over the Dow Jones Indusrial Average hitting a new high gives me pause. A few stats from Barry Ritholtz, market maven and famous contrarian:

index
All time high Date of high Recent high % off all time high
Dow 11,750.28 (1/31/00) 11647.69 0.25%
Tran 5,013.67 (5/31/06) 4433.34 11.57%
SPX 1,552.87 (3/31/00) 1333.7 14.11%
Nasdaq 5,132.52 (3/31/00) 2258.3 56.00%
NDX 100 4,816.35 (3/31/00) 1656.07 65.62%
Russell 784.62 5/31/2006 729.94 6.97%

The Dow has only 10 stocks above their January 2000 highs, and of those 10, four are responsible for dragging the index higher – Boeing, United Technology, Altria and Caterpillar...

• Cash has outperformed the Dow since January 2000; Even considering reinvested dividends; cash STILL out performs the Dow.

• The Dow's Real (inflation adjusted) performance, even with dividends reinvested, is significantly below breakeven.

• Lastly, see this for Why the 1994 Goldilocks scenario is so unlikely.

Aside from a handful of stocks, most major indices have not fared so well since the market highs of six years ago. Large cap tech is still off over 65% from that high. International indices, junk bond funds and plain old cash have outperformed the US market indices since 2000.

I'll leave the interpretation to each individual, but the possibility exists that the economy may not be as strong as some would have us believe. Pressures on the market, such as decreasing home equity values and continued underemployment can have significant effects on the economy. Soft landings in such scenarios are rare.

If you trade, remember to keep disciplined stop-losses. If you are a long term investor, prepare for some short term volatility. And remember, holding cash isn't always a bad thing.

Monday, September 25, 2006

Chris Wallace: Owned

Both sides will claim victory: Clinton bitch- slapped Chris Wallace versus Fox News made Clinton lose his cool. If you haven't seen the unedited video, it's worth a peek. If you've seen clips, there's value in seeing the entire segment in order to appreciate the wind up and the pitch by the interviewer. Also, to truly appreciate Clinton's answer, listen to what he says rather than merely focusing on his demeanor or his socks.


Wallace begins his “question”, which is really just a smirky gotcha, with a laundry list of every bomb that has gone off since 1993, including WTC attacks, Somalia Blackhawk Down episode, US embassy attacks in Africa, OBL's war declaration and finally the USS Cole, before asking if Clinton did enough to catch Osama bin Laden. Wallace prefaced the question with the canard that “viewers want to know” and referenced the latest book The Looming Tower.


Clinton showed justified indignation when responding:

  1. The WTC attacks in 1993 and the US embassy bombings were done before OBL and al Qaeda were on the radar of our clandestine services.

  2. Somalia ws not recognized as having anything to do with Osama bin Laden, but rather Muhammad Aidid.

  3. The CIA and FBI did not recognize al Qaeda as the responsible party in the African bombings until much later.

  4. USS Cole was attacked in October 2000 and the investigation wasn't completed until early 2001 when inspectors determined that al Qaeda, and not Hamas, was responsible.


So, the long preface to Wallace's question was 95% bullshit that had nothing to do with the resolve of the previous administration to get bin Laden. Fox news is so used to interviewees dreamily going along with the canard that they are surprised when somebody is intellectually honest enough to dissect the issues and put them into temporal context.


The USS Cole is the seminal issue. The official report came out in early 2001 that Osama bin Laden was responsible and reports littered the intelligence estimates that OBL was “determined to attack within the US” during the summer of 2001. Richard Clarke, in his book Against All Enemies, is the only high ranking official to come clean on the handling of this information and gives a first-hand account of why and when action could have been taken. The facts can only be fleshed out by people who were actually there. Clarke maintains that the Bush administration disbanded the OBL unit and began to pull back the human intelligence and signal intelligence resources dedicated to al Qaeda surveillance.


The myth that Clarke is a partisan Bush-basher was also addressed by Clinton, who pointed out that Clarke served Reagan, George H.W. Bush and then Clinton before being demoted by George W. Bush when the anti-terror priorities changed in early 2001. Clarke is a dedicated government bureaucrat who has served the US in various capacities under several administrations. Why read books by journalists when there's one out there written by the former head of the OBL unit of the National Security Administration?


Was Clarke just covering his ass by coming out early with his account after the tragedy of 9/11? That would hold water if the 9/11 Commission hadn't corroborated many of the facts asserted by Clarke. If the 9/11 Commission Report can't be read in its entirety, then at least read Chapter 8, entitled “The System was Blinking Red”, which is a must read for any responsible citizen. Anyone who can read that chapter and not flesh out that Bush, with his 4 week vacation in August and his priority of getting big tax cuts for the wealthy, dropped the ball on OBL, needs to re-evaluate their reading comprehension skills.


I think Clinton's surmise of Chris Wallace was perfect and I was heartened that someone finally called out Fox News for their partisan bias. Clinton asked why nobody from the Bush administration was ever asked about the USS Cole, and Wallace tried to hedge that “a lot of questions were asked”, but Clinton rightfully pressed him: “but not that one.” Indeed, so why was it asked of Clinton, because of Wallace's intellectual curiosity? The investigation, completed in 2001, clearly has been ignored by our government and media.


Wallace is trying to frame the coming election with "Clinton missed bin Laden, so Democrats cannot be trusted in the War on Terrah (TM)", and Clinton nipped that crap in the bud. I saw it as a controlled, calculated response that Clinton the politician planned long ago. And, as the kids say, Wallace got owned. I realize that Bush and Fox apologists won't see it that way, but who cares? Anybody so deficient to have voted for Bush is probably also too cataleptic to squeeze the remote hard enough to change the cable station over to Olbermann.


It was refreshing to see someone call out Wallace for his intellectual dishonesty, even if the reality set in afterward that Fox News remains unfazed when their website published this picture:

...and Fox has higher ratings than any other cable news outlet. Is that a respectful “fair and balanced” way to portray a former President by a responsible news outlet?


I've said this before: history will be extremely harsh to George W. Bush, and by proxy his personal media outlet, Fox News. Unnecessary wars which lead to accelerating terror will be the legacy of our current president and the press outlets have enabled such repetitive miscalculation. The next generations will pay for all the boondoggles initiated under the current leadership.


I have compassion for citizens who voted for Bush, especially in the last election when it was clear to every informed citizen that Bush is an idiot who has mismanaged our government. I have compassion for these citizens who feel that the mere act of voting fulfills their responsibility, not giving heed to the consequences of a poorly cast ballot.


Mostly, I have compassion for our nation, which is at the mercy of its collective delusional fears that are skillfully stoked by political operatives, like Wallace, whose cynical misinformation permeates our society. Our higher senses have been dulled by the constant drone of partisan derision, so much so that we fail to recognize the subtleties of targeted questions on pseudo-news shows. We have become a nation of hair-trigger limbic systems reacting only at gut level and mistaking it for responsibly informed citizenship.

Whither Orwell?






Friday, September 08, 2006

Rush Limbaugh: Brave Slayer of Straw Men

I admit that I am undecided on the choice of Katie Couric as Dan Rather’s replacement on the CBS Evening News. I probably watch the network evening news 2 or 3 times per week on average and also listen to other news sources and Sunday morning pundit shows, as well as read various news periodicals on-line.

My fear is that Katie Couric will function as a soft news source with a cute smile and no gravitas. The verdict is still out. One item that is interesting, however, is the “Free Speech” segment where sundry mouthpieces are given a few minutes to voice their opinions. This week the topic is “The War on Terror” in observance of the looming 5 year anniversary of 9-11 and tonight’s guest was Rush Limbaugh, the tireless drug-addicted self-promoter with “intelligence on loan from God.” On the off chance that my radio tuner has accidentally fallen on his AM afternoon screech-fest, I am always impressed with his ability to whine on and on about some irksome non-issue and make absolutely no sense.

So I was interested to see what Rush would do with a few minutes of a legitimate news show like CBS. Not that his audience on radio is any smaller, but certainly network news carries a bit more cache, so what would Rush have to say with his 3 minutes (transcript) of air?

My friends, it's time to face a hard cold fact: Militant Islam wants to kill us just because we're alive and don't believe as they do. And they have been killing us for decades. It is time to stop pretending these are mere episodic events and face the reality that our way of life is in grave danger. Now, this threat is not just go away because we choose to ignore it.”

While I may not give “militant Islam” so much credit as to threaten our “way of life”, I would agree that ignoring it is not a viable option. But then, who exactly is advocating ignoring Islamists who threaten us? Do the militants want to kill us really because we’re “alive” and don’t “believe as they do”? Or could our support of despotic regimes such as the Saudis and other illiberal governments foment hatred among the burgeoning underclass within the Arab and Asian world? Can we pursue a dialog about justice throughout the Muslim world at the same time we pursue our security? Is our “addiction to oil”, as President Bush finally realizes, part of the equation?

Some say we try diplomacy. Yeah, well tell me, how do we negotiate with people whose starting point is our death? Ask them to wait for 10 years, before they kill us? When Good negotiates with Evil, Evil will always win. And peace follows victory, not words issued by diplomats.”

Rush develops his straw man further with the famous “some say” who want to “try diplomacy.” This “some say” bullshit may work with presidential town hall meetings of Stepford Republicans, but sorry, it won’t fly on CBS News. Who the hell are the “some” who want to negotiate? And with whom? Is the President’s leniency on Pakistan as they harbor Osama bin Laden part of the “diplomacy” that Rush finds so abhorrent? Did Reagan’s negotiations with Iran over arms and hostages in the 1980’s weaken our hand now as they pursue nuclear capabilities?

But some Americans, sadly, are not interested in victory. And yet they want us to believe that their behavior is Patriotic. Well, it's not. When the critics are more interested in punishing this country over a few incidents at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo Bay than they are in defeating those who want to kill us; when they seek to destroy a foreign surveillance program which is designed to identify those who want to kill us and how they intend to do it; when they want to grant those who want to kill us, U.S. constitutional rights, I don't call that patriotic.”

Again, the straw men “some” Americans are 1) “not interested” in victory, 2) “more interested” in criticizing America and 3) seeking to “destroy” our clandestine services? Who? How? What I have been hearing the last few years is intelligent argument from the loyal opposition in response to illegal surveillance programs and criminal torture of prisoners, a discussion that acts to strengthen our position versus illiberal enemies by demonstrating our resolve for justice and against tyranny, even when the perpetrators are our own. "Those who sacrifice liberty for security deserve neither."--- Ben Franklin. That means you, Rush.

“Patriotism is rallying behind the country, regardless of party affiliation, to defeat Islamo-Fascism. Patriotism is supporting our troops on the battlefield, not undermining the mission and morale. But let there be no doubt about this. America will prevail. We're the same country that survived a bloody Civil War, defeated the Nazis and the Soviets. Each generation has a responsibility to the next. Our generation will not disappoint.”

Rush Limbaugh, the “patriot” who avoided military service during the cold war, a time when our way of life was truly in jeopardy, is lecturing about patriotism: and on national television no less. No wonder, Dick Cheney chooses Rush’s show to present major policy announcements, where chickenhawks feel comfortable. Rush, the pathetic self-loathing addict, then lectures about “responsibility.” Ha! I had to look at the clock because I thought maybe this was Letterman’s comedy show, but no it’s still Couric.

I realize that Rush’s polemic will have no substantive effect on the national debate. Fearful warmongers will gobble this up as further evidence that we should forsake our Constitution as soon as we feel threatened by a bunch of thugs. More rational folks will dismiss Rush as “just another infotainer” who should not be taken seriously. Is such divisiveness on such important issues really entertaining?

I appreciate that Katie Couric is interested in giving voice to various opinions, but such undeveloped lines of unreason as Rush’s screed may serve only to dissociate the viewers from reality. There may be some valid arguments in favor of torture and surveillance, and against the tyrannical oppressors in the world, but Rush’s nitwitted idea of “patriotism” as blind “support for our troops” with no room for democratic debate 4 years into a military misadventure is ridiculous.

If Couric’s point was to show us Rush is an idiot, then she’s already a success. Now tell us some news, Katie.

Saturday, September 02, 2006

Mass Confusion causes chaos in my brain

Apparently Donald Rumsfeld says I'm confused. I can't decide whether my confusion is moral or intellectual. Sometimes I think it's moral confusion, but then other times I'm convinced it's really intellectual confusion. Whoa, I just had a horrific thought: Could I be both? Maybe I'm just generally confused. Yeah, that must be it. I wish somebody could help me out.

Recently I had a discussion at work with a group of younger folks, all college-educated with at least associates degrees, about the poll which showed that 30% of American adults did not know what year the 9/11 attacks on the WTC occurred. I was heartened that 100% of the six people in the room dutifully chirped in near-unison “2001”, although one admitted she only knew it because she had been married six weeks prior to the fateful date. Our discussion then traversed a couple generations and the other date that lives in infamy: December 7th. The group did not fare as well with only one person even getting the correct decade, but stating “1945.” Another twenty-something thought it had something to do with men walking on the moon, and two thought it marked the end of World War II. The one dissenter simply exclaimed, “I'm not a history person.”


Which brings us to the discussion at hand. With most polemics, whether political or otherwise, two or more sides develop arguments in support of their theses and discussion usually progresses until some conclusion is made. Sometimes common ground is established, but often, in political arguments especially, the various sides must agree to disagree. Over a longer period of time, as heat gives way to light, one side will be determined to be more correct than the others. Galileo was correct that the earth orbited the sun, and the Roman Catholic dogma was incorrect in their view of contention of the opposite. Former Republican advisor Brent Scowcroft was more correct in his trepidation about entering the Iraq war, while Donald Rumsfeld was incorrect in his supposition that the Iraq war would be a “cakewalk. It took the church 400 years to acknowledge it's mistake, let's hope Rummy doesn't take as long.


Facts are facts and with time disputatious arguments will often be resolved. The Iraq war issue is not a question of right vs. left, or liberal vs. conservative. It is a question of correct vs. incorrect, and our current government has been incorrect. Period. Now Mr. Rumsfeld is telling me that I am confused, a confusion apparently shared by several retired generals, various Republican advisors, historians, pundits of the right and left, UN weapons inspectors, the Duelfer Report on Iraqi weapons caches, and 60% of the American people. That's a lot of confusion, whether it's moral, intellectual, or otherwise.

Being called “confused” by someone as bat-shit crazy as Don Rumsfeld is like being called “drunk” by Farrah Fawcett, or being labeled “glib” by Tom Cruise. Other than triggering a giggle, being insulted by Rummy hardly gives me pause.

Comedy aside, Mr. Rumsfeld's tactic of dismissing all dissent as “confused”, is not only insincere, but anathema to our form of government. A contemporary of George Orwell once said that “all governments are oligarchies” and the issues are whether they are competent, incompetent, benevolent or evil. The purpose of the statement was to recommend his friend Orwell as Britain's “chief oligarch” at the start of WW II because he was an intellectual stalwart as well as a “secular saint.” Whatever your opinion of Bush's and Rumsfeld's sanctity, not many people can argue that they are overflowing with competence.

For Rummy to intimate that his critics are somehow deficient in lucidity is an affront to honest discourse necessary to solve the immense problem of Iraq. He has so fucked this up that he cannot figure out a solution. I feel his pain. We all make mistakes, and unfortunately the mistakes made in Iraq have metastasized into mushrooming problems with our budget, our allies and our national unity. No matter how wacky these “five morons” , as one Reagan official called them, in charge of our foreign policy may be, I have little doubt that they are devastated by every injured or killed American soldier and Iraqi civilian, and each “setback” in the spiraling descent into civil war. I may not agree with this administration's view of Iraq, but I cannot fathom that they are so evil that they would be indifferent to the suffering caused by their incompetence.

Why does Rumsfeld engage in such sophomoric propaganda as comparing his critics to “Nazi appeasers” and calling them “confused”? You'll have to ask him, but my guess is that he is trying to stop the deafening cacophony of critique that is only becoming more shrill with each passing day, each Baghdad car-bomb, each inane remark, each brave soldier laid to rest in Arlington.

Godwin's Rule of Nazi Analogies states that as a discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison to Nazism or Hitler approaches one. A corollary points out that once that analogy is made, the argument ceases, and whomever brought up the comparison to Nazism automatically loses. Does Rummy lose merely by comparing his opponents to Nazi sympathizers? No, he loses the argument because he is wrong.

Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and Rice have been wrong for quite some time. They have been wrong so many times and in so many ways, that the only tactic that remains is to just plead with their critics to please stop criticizing. In my view, Rummy's latest tirades are heartfelt appeals to get his critics to cease and desist.

Will this tactic work to quell the dissent? Unlikely. But then, Rumsfeld thinks I'm confused, so I doubt he cares what I think.

Unfortunately for our oligarchs, and us by proxy, the increasing volume of dissent is coming from all quarters. Rich Lowery of the National Review, Quin Hillyer of the American Spectator, columnist George Will and the iconic William F. Buckley, all venerable conservatives and once-Bushophiles, have renounced current Iraqi policy. For Rumsfeld to call me confused is one thing, but for such an erudite group of right-wing ideologues to also stumble onto the exact same flavor of dementia strains credulity. Perhaps we should all be picking out matching Neville Chamberlain bowlers and umbrellas next week.

There is something more problematic about Rummy's calling his critics morally and intellectually confused. Not only is he incorrect, although I'll leave others to list the reasons, but more damning is that such rhetoric shows that Rumsfeld is simply not seriously pursuing solutions to Iraq. Just as alcoholics must eventually admit that a problem exists, Rumsfeld, Bush, Cheney and Rice, if they are ever serious about resolving the quagmire and impending civil war, must admit that we have entered the dark night of our national soul. How many New Jersey living rooms will Elton John park his Lincoln in before he signs up for rehab?

You could fill volumes with what I don't know about foreign policy and warmongering, but I do have an informal acquaintance with decision-making. Rumsfeld taking time out of his busy day to comment on my moral and intellectual hygiene is laughable. You have a war to fight for chrissake. The only analogy I can countenance is an obstetrician encountering a woman in her 36th hour of labor, blood gushing from her womb and fetal heart tones becoming fainter; the nurses near panic as the mother's vital signs become thready, and Dr. Rumsfeld turns to the distraught father to conjecture about his alleged moral and intellectual deficiencies. Doctor, are you going to deliver the baby, or just whine about everybody else's moral and intellectual state?

We all suffer as a result of the incompetence of our oligarchs, but doubtless some suffer more than others. As a middle-class, middle-aged, mid-level professional living in a middle-sized town in the middle of the Midwest, the redundancies that secure my well-being are multi-layered. I have no children, nieces or nephews who are military-aged. Bush's first order of business in 2001 was to give me a fat tax cut. My house and Nissan are all but paid off. For me to engage in ad hominem attacks on our incompetent oligarchs would be pointless.

My dissent is not pointless even if it may be of little consequence. I wouldn't have voted for Bush, Rumsfeld, or any of these knuckleheads, for music director for a school for the deaf. Bush's incompetence was obvious from the first time he stepped out of Ken Lay's jet during the Iowa caucuses in February 2000. Cheney's been wrong since the 1970's Nixon years ands when he voted in support of apartheid in South Africa in 1986 and on nearly every issue since. Rumsfeld, whether he's shaking hands with Saddam, underestimating our enemies or nattering on about my mental state, he's clearly a senile curmudgeon desperately in need of collecting his Social Security check. And Condescenda Rice... what can I say? She's one of the few public figures that makes George W. Bush look intelligent; I guess that's her role in this harlequinade. Neither seem to know the difference between strategy and tactics, unless the mission is to have your name on a supertanker.

Former Republican congressman Joe Scarborough broached a recent dialog about whether Bush was “an idiot” and noting that while other presidents have been called stupid, he says "I think George Bush is in a league by himself. I don't think he has the intellectual depth of these other people...George Bush's lack of gravitas is hurting America at home and embarrassing us abroad.” No kidding.

Leaders sometimes have to admit that they are wrong. Don't admit it to me, but at least admit it to yourself. When the Secretary of Defense makes an appeal for support by calling critics “confused” and likening them to “Nazi appeasers”, I know one thing: he has not admitted that his policy is wrong, he has not taken the first step. Instead of running around like his hair on fire, spewing delusional invectives about my cognitive state, he should be quietly and competently formulating a plan to get us the hell out of the Iraq quagmire. A plan is not a constant re-iteration of some vacuous platitude such as the president does when was asked if he has a plan for Iraq: "The strategy is to help the Iraqi people achieve their objectives and their dreams, which is a democratic society. That's the strategy." (Bush, last week.) A plan may contain a mission statement, but more importantly has a few bullet points on strategy and tactics, and addresses several contingencies. You know, a plan. Rumsfeld's “morally and/or intellectually confused” critics seem to be the only ones with plans. And that is downright scary.


I'm sure the young scrub tech referenced earlier who doesn't know Pearl Harbor from Pearl Jam certainly isn't losing sleep over Rummy's burgeoning senility or my electronic rant. She's got kids to raise and a mortgage to pay. We would all be well-served if she informed herself more about what is being done in her name and the name of her country. Somebody voted these guys into office, but the entire world is suffering the consequences. As another contemporary of Orwell once said, we have a moral obligation to be intelligent. If they were still alive, I'm sure Rumsfeld would declare Orwell and his pals certifiably confused.





Thursday, August 10, 2006

Victory for Lieberman Republicans?

The cult of Bush has now found something new to be incensed about. Lieberman lost his bid to be re-elected as the Democratic Senator from Connecticut because his opponent, Ned Lamont, ran a campaign focused primarily on Lieberman's unquestioned support of George W. Bush's failed policies in Iraq. On most other issues, barely a ray of light can be seen between the two candidates' views.


I know why Connecticut Dems eschewed Joementum. After making out with the president in the House chamber, Lieberman derided Democrats who served as the loyal opposition to Bush, stating: "It is time for Democrats who distrust President Bush to acknowledge that he will be Commander-in-Chief for three more critical years, and that in matters of war we undermine Presidential credibility at our nation’s peril." Game, set, match. Mr. Magoo could have beaten this idiot in the primary. The start and conduct of the Iraq war was wrong: it has not helped the war on terror, it has not advanced US policy in the world, it has not weakened al Qaeda, and it has yet to benefit the Iraqis (save, of course, Ahmed Chalabi). And knuckleheads like Lieberman thought it prudent to refrain from any discourse just when our nation depended on it.


The unusually delusional Cal Thomas is the latest apologist for failed Bush policies to speak out. He appears to be in the catarrhal phase of his rabid disapproval of Connecticut Democrats who had the gall to exercise their franchise on Tuesday. Uncool Cal says:

It is a loss for his party and for the country. It completes the capture of the Democratic Party by its Taliban wing....[Democrats] have now morphed into Taliban Democrats because they are willing to "kill" one of their own, if he does not conform to the narrow and rigid agenda of the party's kook fringe.”

Oh please. Ned Lamont is a capable successful citizen with views that are in lockstep with the national Democratic Party and Connecticut voters. Nobody killed Lieberman, he committed political suicide by supporting a failed president in a war that does not serve our national interests, and the voters for once were intelligent enough to recognize it. Is “Taliban” the latest epithet used for opponents, like Nazi has been used in the past.? If so, I'd like to present Grodge's Corollary to Godwin's Law, which would state that comparing a political party to the Taliban ends the argument, and you have lost. Furthermore, your party will likely lose at least one house of Congress in the coming election. Thomas continues:

[Lieberman's] detractors, who brought him down in the primary with a one-issue, inexperienced and unqualified candidate, Ned Lamont, hate President Bush so much that their judgment has been distorted...The Taliban wing of the Democratic Party cannot countenance any "heretics" who do not toe their line.”

The Iraq war is just “one-issue” like Tiger Woods is just another duffer. Iraq is the defining catastrophe of the generation, and increasingly citizens are recognizing it as a war of choice that was the wrong choice. The defining characteristic of a democracy is that elected officials are to be held accountable for their failures, and who can blame Connecticut voters or refusing an entrenched pol like Lieberman who is cozying up to the corrupt party that has recently had a Republican mayor and governor who were forced to step down for malfeasance, namely soliciting 8 year-olds on the internet and handing lucrative state contracts to cronies. I also find it humorous that Cal Thomas takes issue with “incendiary rhetoric” from a bunch of left-wing bloggers, a few remarks sampled from probably thousands comments made about Lieberman, when his rhetoric about “Taliban Democrats” who issue “political fatwahs” against “heretics” is arguably more incendiary and coming from a supposedly respectable member of the punditocracy to boot.



My favorite line from Thomas' vituperative tirade, however, is his contention that Lamont supporters somehow damage the democratic process. He says: “For those who still believe not only in a strong two-party system, but also in compromise and conciliation in order to promote the general welfare and seek the common good, the Lieberman defeat strikes an especially harmful blow.”



What's in Cal's Kool-aid? When voters disagree with a candidate, they damage the two-party system? I heard nobody advocating a Stalinist or Maoist one-party system. Rather, I saw voters engaging in the responsible conduct of discourse and citizenship. Finally. At long last, maybe rays of morning sunshine are beginning to brighten the horizon after this long, 6 year, dark night of our collective national soul.



Cal Thomas takes the incongruous view of positively spinning Lieberman's loss by concluding that “GOP losses, if any, might not be as bad as predicted this November. Karl Rove could not have devised a more brilliant plan.” Ahh, yes... the old schoolyard canard of "meaning to do that", as in "Yeah, well I meant to hang that curve ball just to see how far you could hit it." On the contrary, if the rest of the nation follows suit and the 70% of Americans who think Iraq was a mistake finally vote the Bush sycophants out of office, we may get not only a Democratic Senate with subpoena power, but we may also get hearings and indictments that are long overdue.



Then maybe Mr. Thomas can stop libeling Lamont supporters as terrorists and start doing something constructive, like campaigning to get donors for Rove's, Cheney's, and Rummy's legal defense funds .




Saturday, August 05, 2006

Shi'a Crescent won't end the world (I think)


Billmon’s recent screed is a frightening appraisal of the spiral occurring in the Middle East. I consider Billmon a must-read, and have not missed a post for over a year. He has been consistently out front with pithy insight on the failed US policies overseas, and while I enjoy his writing and banter, I take issue with his current stand.

Billmon's “War Party”:

If the United States were to begin pulling troops out of Iraq now, it would be interpreted correctly throughout the Middle East as an open admission of defeat -- one that would likely lead fairly quickly to a complete American evacuation of the country. (Maybe not literally by landing helicopters on the roof of the embassy, but all in the region would understand the military reality that as the force grows smaller it will become progressively more dangerous to keep it in Iraq.)

Such an outcome could well force Iraq's Shi'a political leaders to snuggle up even more tightly to Iran, if only as a matter of physical survival. If the full-scale civil war everyone seems to expect were to break out following an American withdrawal, Baghdad might even feel compelled to call in Iranian troops. At a minimum, Iran could be left with enormous influence over, if not outright control of, the Iraqi government and its security forces. Access to Iraqi air space would give Iran a direct resupply corridor to Syria, and, through Syria, to Hizbullah. A ground presence could provide Tehran with a direct ground link -- call it the Ayatollah Khomeini Trail -- assuming the Kurds could be bought off and/or intimidated, or the Sunni belt pacified (one shudders to think of what that might involve.)

Presto: one Shi'a crescent to go.


Since Billmon is usually spot on with his analysis, and many of his predictions have been borne out, I fully realize that my current opposition to his grim view of the “Shi’a Crescent” taking shape in the Middle East may merely be my irrational denial of the horrendous consequences of such a development. As with all of my blog entries, this view continues to be a work in progress as I try to hash out my opinions and I fully recognize that it is prudent to take pause whenever one disagrees with one of Billmon’s opinions. So here goes my mental gymnastic exercise:

Left Blogistan, as embodied in Billmon’s entry cited above among many others, is tending toward an indignant, self-righteous cynicism that I don't think is necessarily warranted. Yes, Bush is a first class boob, but just as Islamofascism cannot destroy the West, neither can a mismanaged foreign policy run by chickenhawk neocons. As a culture, I believe we are much stronger than that. In sum, the world is still safer than it was two or three decades ago when our way of life was directly threatened with instant annihilation by Cold War protagonists. Sure, our enemies can catch us sleeping and blow up a few buildings, and maybe even set off a dirty bomb some day, but that does not threatens our way of life, unless we respond in a self-destructive way. My sense is that the majority of Americans are now recognizing that our response of attacking Iraq was indeed an over-reach and we are unlikely to do that again, whether Republicans or Democrats inhabit the Oval Office over the next few decades.

A recent article about Thomas P.M. Barnett is pretty enlightening and presents a more measured view of current events. Barnett is a defense policy consultant who has done work for the Pentagon and has written several books, one of which I read last year, called The Pentagon's New Map. While not a hawk in the neocon sense, Barnett does recognize that there are bad actors in the world that are tending to destabilize various regions of the world, and these regimes sometimes need to be taken out. Barnett argues that nobody is better suited for the military tasks than the US, which he calls the Leviathan, but he also recognizes that we cannot do it alone, and we need friends in the world to help with the necessary "nation-building" chores associated with regime changes. Barnett explains that Core nations make up the regulated economic markets and possess most of the world’s wealth. Alternatively, third world societies of various stripe are called the non-integrated Gap, which is slowly being incorporated into the Core through the gradual pull of globalization. Barnett liberally cites Thomas Friedman and apparently accepts much of the “Moustache’s” tenets.

While these nuances have certainly been lost with the current administration, I believe that Barnett's philosophy is consistent with US policy over the past 60 years, which had been molded over the decades by successes and failures in wars and police actions. World War II is the classic example of the West joining forces to battle a clear and present danger. The Korean War in the 1950's, while not perfectly executed, had showed that the West, when acting together, could be victorious in halting the Red Menace, and generations of South Koreans as well as other Core nations have benefited greatly. The Bay of Pigs in 1961, on the other hand, is an example of the US acting alone and failing. We learned from other failures, such as Vietnam, where we did not heed the object lessons of imperial France who had pulled out in the 1950's at the outset of the ensuing Vietnamese civil war, after which we attempted a unilateral engagement that failed, with many similarities to today’s nightmare. I would argue that the Balkans incursions were examples of near-perfect execution of Barnett’s ideation with US firepower and European forces joining ranks to stem sectarian violence, halt destabilizing refugee migration and bring despotic assholes to justice. The fact that Kosovo and Yugoslavia wars were not long and drawn out are testament to their success. Some isolationists may bemoan the fact that a multinational force is needed in the Balkans to this day, but most would recognize that that is a small price to pay for relative stability.

Iraq is only the most recent example of a gross misjudgment of our abilities to act as the sole purveyor of war and post-war security, unnecessarily acting alone, and the outcome is consistent with Barnett's presumptions about the limitations of a Leviathan force. We simply cannot do it alone. (And, no, Britain's 8,000 soldiers are not enough either.) The unfortunate part is that these lessons should have been learned years ago, but the arrogance of neocon ideologues prevented rational planning, and now we are left with the messy, expensive and demoralizing prospect of withdrawal and failure in Iraq. The worst part is that we have squandered the international support after 9-11, which has set back the prospects of stemming Islamo-terrorists: a real threat that has been recognized for decades, and while it may not destroy our way of life, it may certainly be more costly to control now that al Qaeda and Hezbollah have become emboldened with relative success against the best military powers in the world. The force of globalization may be an inevitable trend toward greater and greater inclusion of third world Gap cultures into the Core of regulated market economies, but Barnett recognizes that this integration we occur with fits and starts of varying degrees, and sometimes military force will be needed to keep the peace. Who better than us to provide that force?

While I don't necessarily disagree with this assessment, I have always had grave reservations about the capabilities of the current administration to make important decisions, and I raised questions prior to the 2000 election. Now, it turns out, these doubts were warranted. The bipartisan chairmen of the 9-11 Commission have now come out with their scathing assessment that the Bush/ Cheney administration overplayed the association between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda among other sins. The only conclusion that one can have is that the Iraq war was the “wrong war at the wrong place at the wrong time”, as an intelligent person had said a couple years ago. And no, Kerry and others never “voted for the war” as has been dissembled about for years. The Democrats in the Senate joined Republicans, the president and the world to stand shoulder-to-shoulder against Saddam Hussein in order to get UN inspectors back into Iraq. To have not signed the force resolution (not a war declaration, by the way) would have been negligent on the Democrats’ parts, and yes, that is a gentle indictment of you, Mr. Feingold. In retrospect, the Bush administration, at best, took advantage of the situation and the force resolution in order to rush into the neocon agenda of shoot first, inspect later, which was in contradistinction to most of western civilization. This Iraq debacle is George W. Bush’s, and shame on those who voted for him, who frankly, should have known better.

While I'm not ready to leap over the bridge, like our friend Billmon seems to be threatening, I do realize that we have a long recovery ahead to undo the damage and get back on the track of influencing the world like the benevolent superpower we envision ourselves to be. The “Shi’a Crescent” notwithstanding, I honestly believe that our system will somehow correct itself. Granted, my confidence in our system is a bit shaken, especially when I see fellow citizens and voters listening to David Frum, Jonah Goldberg and Bill O'Reilly, and RE-electing morons like Bush, but at the risk being panglossian, I still think that at the end of the day, we'll pull out of this tailspin and get back to the head of the formation.