The fact is, I don't think the Obama administration knows much what to do. I think their reaction will be in the U.N. Security Council. I think that's going to be entirely inadequate. North Korea, by launching this rocket, is already violating several Security Council resolutions, so I don't think they pay much attention to what happens in New York.
I don't think the U.N.'s going to do much of anything. I think it's very unlikely they'll get a stiff sanctions resolution. The sanctions that were imposed in 2006, when North Korea tested missiles and a nuclear device, obviously haven't not stopped them.
I think the real pressure has to be applied on China, which gives North Korea 80 to 90 percent of its energy and a substantial amount of its food and other humanitarian needs. China's got the capability to stop this nuclear program. We've just never applied adequate pressure to them.
And then... change of subject.
So there you have it. Bush's own ambassodor admits, 1) this incident is a threat to US interests, 2) China needs to be engaged on the issue, 3) the Bush administration "never applied adequate presure." We do not know exactly what President Obama will do in this situation, but if history is a guide we do know what President Bush would do. After the North Korean missile launch in 2006, Bush did... nothing. He ignored it, did not engage China or the UN or garner adequate allied pressure on the regime... which I suppose is better than the alternative plan which would have been to attack and invade Australia.
Thank you, Mr. Bolton, you may now drift back into the obscurity which you so richly deserve. (And the next time you get the urge to take an ad hominem swipe at the current administration which is charged with cleaning up the shitstorm left by your previous boss, please just STFU).
*It is also importatnt to note that Bolton has been a lifetime critic of the UN, not of any specific policy of the UN mind you, but rather of the entire notion of an institution of United Nations. So, in effect, Bush's appointment of Bolton was really just giving the finger to the UN.
My prediction: Right wing pundits will immediately wet their pants and then they will busily voice all their inane fears and empty concerns and feel the need to tell us how they are "scared" and "worried"... yada, yada, yada. Count how many times you see or hear those words on websites and Fox news in the coming week.